Another late start on the bike and a blog post by ECP_Allar drives me to Excel to predict the final MVC Standings. If you go by just KenPom RPI the rest of the way out. Here's how it shakes out.
The 4/5 seed is bad news for Evansville if Wichita St. wins out. Let's assume Evansville beats Illinois St a couple times starting tomorrow. That puts Evansville in the dreamy 3 seed.
Now just some guesses here.
Most importantly, Evansville beats Illinois St. at home, loses on the road, loses to NIU and Wichita St.
-Wichita St. wins out. -NIU wins out other than on the road against WSU. -Illinois St. splits with UE and somehow loses at home to Loyola. -I don't want Indiana St. to win 11, but outside of losing to Drake or Illinois St. it's probably going to happen. Let's say they lose to Drake because I think they can defense ISU's big man. -Loyola wins 3 of 4 at home and a sneaky Drake beats them at Drake. 6 wins in the second half is a lot for Loyola, but their schedule is easy. -Missouri St.'s only remaining win comes at home vs. Bradley. -SIU splits with Drake -Drake goes on a run with some upsets over Loyola, MSU, Ind. St., and SIU. Though those aren't big upsets. -Bradley's only remaining win is on the road at Drake.